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1 Analyst Puts the Odds of a Tesla and SpaceX Merger at 80%. Here's What That Would Mean for Tesla Investors.

Written by Daniel Sparks for The Motley Fool -> SpaceX went public in June at a valuation near $1.8 trillion -- the largest stock debut ever. Tesla and SpaceX already share a chip project, overlapping AI ambitions, and financial ties. Elon Musk controls SpaceX outright but own

1 Analyst Puts the Odds of a Tesla and SpaceX Merger at 80%. Here's What That Would Mean for Tesla Investors.
Nasdaq News โ€” 15 June 2026
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SpaceX went public in June at a valuation near $1.8 trillion -- the largest stock debut ever.

Tesla and SpaceX already share a chip project, overlapping AI ambitions, and financial ties.

Elon Musk controls SpaceX outright but owns a much smaller slice of Tesla.

For more than two decades, putting a number on a Tesla-SpaceX merger was guesswork because only one of the two companies traded publicly. That changed on June 12, when SpaceX (NASDAQ: SPCX) completed the largest initial public offering (IPO) in history at a valuation near $1.8 trillion. With a public price finally attached to the rocket company, long-running speculation that Elon Musk will fold his two trillion-dollar businesses into one resurfaced.

The figures involved are enormous. Electric-car maker Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) carries a market capitalization of about $1.5 trillion as of this writing, while SpaceX rose above a $2 trillion market value in its first session. Put the two together, and you get a company worth more than $3 trillion -- enough to rank among the four most valuable in the world.

Will AI create the world's first trillionaire? Our team just released a report on the one little-known company, called an "Indispensable Monopoly" providing the critical technology Nvidia and Intel both need. Continue ยป

Wedbush analyst Dan Ives recently put the odds of such a tie-up within a year at about 80%.

So what would a combination actually mean for the people who own Tesla today?

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